Buy Apple (about 200 right now). In five years it will double (read closely) either two or three times. If you’re following suppositio.us for stock and investment advice and need a slightly lower beta, buy Google. Similar performance, but slightly less risk.
One of suppositio.us’s close readers pointed out that this blog is a little tight, that is, it could be looser. Agreed. Their diagnosis: stage fright. Even though suppositio.us does performance art and poetry readings, etc., it is to be agreed with. Yes. It will be fixed.
The best indicator of very long term performance of Apple stock is the amount of credit Steve Jobs gives to others. If you find him to be more genorous with praise, then he is building for the future: a company that will outlast him. That would be a very, very good thing.
Per our earlier post expressing the expectation that this campaign was about the electorate wanting to be entertained, it does indeed seem that Big ‘O’ has wrapped it up. The Wall Street Journal says that O’s 30 minute special outgunned the regular programming it replaced by 10%. But if you watch that special you’ll see it isn’t so, well, special. It’s boring. And that’s important.
So the numbers say that O will get about 10% more than MC. Cool. That’ll be something like 46% Obama, 42% McCain. Or so. (Where to the numbers come from: well, check out the blog title.)
But it’ll be a boring 4 years, I suppose.
Here’s a chart.
This chart tells me it’s time to PREDICT!
That comment about the most entertaining president/vice-president pair being elected, that wasn’t a prediction. THIS is a prediction:
Buy Apple stock (NASDAQ:AAPL) at Friday’s closing ($97.40) and you will double your money within two years.
Why? Look at the chart linked above. The three lines scraping along the bottom are the National Association of Securitites Dealers Automated Quotation System (NASDAQ), the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI), Standard and Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500). The line just *below* Apple is Google (GOOG).
So, what, is Suppositio.us a chartist? Is the past a reliable indicator of future performance? No, and, I think, yes. In the past, Suppositio.us has recommened Apple stock to friends and relatives, giving dates and expected profits. They’ve worked out very well. This is one of those, but this time, it’s for everyone.
And I suppose that means YOU.
Suppositio.us is still pretty bed-bound depressed. It’s a mood thing. But this needs to be done. Suppositio.us is predicting expecting that the most entertaining of the presidential/vice-presidential candidates will win. And to understand exactly what that means look here: Saturday Night Live – Palin / Hillary Open – Video – NBC.com, Saturday Night Live – Couric / Palin Open – Video – NBC.com, and VP Debate Open: Palin/Biden. The only unknown is whether the current election process will let us elect Palin directly.
I’m not talking about Steve Jobs, yet. But what would you do if you knew, somewhere around July 26th, 2008 – your company was fully valued in a fully valued market. Keep it simple. Ask that question. Then go back to “Apple’s Culture of Secrecy”. So what do you suppose?
Now, Suppositio.us is used to flying off the handle, but how can Forbes have *two* richest men in America? My money’s on Warren Buffet, but didn’t I read somewhere that Bill Gates might still be? The latest news stories all say WB wins. But here’s the story: Who convinced BG not to work so hard? Who *gave* money to BG to spend, so that he’d be distracted? So what does this say about WB? New book: Snowball.
Meanwhile, is it possible for the vice-presidential candidate to be elected *president*? Maybe we’ll find out.
Suppositious is very lazy today (read: always) so we’ll just post a link to something we said somewhere else – here.
And there you have it, a breakthrough in world politics!
Robert Scoble, former Microsoft corporate blogger and currently an A-list blogger (see: Scobleizer) working independently (and also developing some other things, of course) has offered to link to anyone leaving a good reason for linking and, he wrote, (See? The shift key does have a purpose!) “LEAVE YOUR URL … HERE!” (Caps and other emphasis ours)
So good ol’ Sup’ just left a quick note here (comment 47). Check it out and see if there are any URL’s in that note. See? Smart? Prob not. And it would have been so easy. “Coulda been a contenda,” indeed.
Scoble, thanks. Take a look at my vain, but feeble attempts at humor. And keep lookin’ in, ’cause We (http://www.suppositio.us) IS a contenda!
But that didn’t happen, did it?
No, guess not. But the comments aren’t closed yet, apparently. Try again? What could it hurt?